The SF has been beside himself because I am so late posting the weather post this month. My excuse is that I am writing a novel for National Novel Writing Month (NaNoWriMo to the initiated), in which you take part in the challenge to write a 50,000-word novel during November. I’m not explaining this to impress anyone but a) to indicate that posts this month might be a bit sporadic; and b) to give me an incentive to finish the thing by telling everyone.
And so to October’s weather. Since we are a third of the way through November already, I’m having some difficulty remembering October. But the SF’s weather stats come to the rescue.
Every month I post an update on how the weather has been in our corner of southwest France, based on the statistics we have kept since 1998. To see the other weather posts, please click on ‘Weather’ under the Topics tab in the right-hand sidebar.
Weather assessment for October
A quick reminder of our subjective weather assessment: we assign each day a plus if it’s fine, a minus if it’s bad and a zero if it’s indifferent or we can’t decide. In October we had:
Pluses – 14
Zeros – 6
Minuses – 11
The graph shows the percentage of plus days each October for the past 15 years (the line is the trend). Although October has generally been improving, this year’s was disappointing. Only two have been worse over that period. Very strong southerly winds for about four days caused a lot of damage in the region mid-month. We also had a very cold spell towards the end of the month with sub-zero temperatures in the morning.
Our rainfall stats go back to August 2004. Despite the disappointing number of fine days we still had less than the average rainfall in the month (59 mm as opposed to 73.2 mm) but it rained more often than usual (11 days instead of about 9).
We are still running at a deficit for the year – 610 mm against an average of 677.4 mm (about 90% of what we should have had).
As I mentioned above, the frosts have started again and we had three frost nights in October, which is roughly what we would expect.
Although very variable so far, November is unseasonably warm and looks set to continue that way for a while. However, this is not considered a good thing if the French dictons (sayings) are anything to go by:
Chaleur de novembre nuit fort et provoque de bien des gens la mort (Warmth in November is very harmful and sees many people off.)
In my experience, a warm November is often the harbinger of a bitterly cold December, which might explain this dicton. At least we have plenty of wood in store.
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